Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.001857 8.854548 9.783619 10.875122 12.127461 13.525445 15.212502
2025-12-21 6.683273 7.776668 9.048320 10.650281 12.633929 15.035429 18.202693
2025-12-28 6.444139 7.789495 9.434566 11.624262 14.508856 18.246668 23.571528
2026-01-04 5.983516 7.440808 9.291215 11.860707 15.414467 20.278794 27.667144
2026-01-11 5.426413 6.895394 8.815420 11.571105 15.532626 21.201425 30.282718
2026-01-18 5.166344 6.706238 8.777623 11.851062 16.447647 23.336895 35.018440
2026-01-25 4.791711 6.324083 8.432348 11.644264 16.603607 24.324206 38.053912
2026-02-01 4.484463 6.008357 8.148491 11.489316 16.803474 25.379344 41.347726
2026-02-08 4.205070 5.709870 7.862312 11.296903 16.910437 26.275678 44.485848
2026-02-15 3.943946 5.419021 7.563608 11.053637 16.899633 26.954708 47.312853
2026-02-22 3.755135 5.221496 7.388881 10.987558 17.170202 28.148419 51.351137
2026-03-01 3.510203 4.925041 7.042569 10.612752 16.867250 28.251910 53.145389
2026-03-08 3.249709 4.597739 6.638854 10.129888 16.359210 27.968857 54.200526
2026-03-15 3.073260 4.390397 6.411902 9.927981 16.339782 28.631053 57.528648
2026-03-22 3.141169 4.565080 6.803760 10.817067 18.430896 33.807627 72.785788
2026-03-29 3.067342 4.509602 6.814429 11.032659 19.257816 36.491914 82.628250
2026-04-05 2.909393 4.309800 6.571808 10.768592 19.102886 37.004603 86.759686
2026-04-12 2.856437 4.277890 6.609876 11.023866 20.029430 40.104716 99.184560
2026-04-19 2.730817 4.119321 6.420777 10.835316 20.006766 40.974375 105.175492
2026-04-26 2.621708 3.983077 6.262729 10.693985 20.069768 42.061889 112.217451
2026-05-03 2.514358 3.844848 6.093620 10.518413 20.039449 42.912572 118.764689
2026-05-10 2.406603 3.701265 5.907620 10.296331 19.883400 43.418917 124.299906
2026-05-17 2.329803 3.607431 5.806050 10.235985 20.088953 44.915597 134.036530